Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Trump's Definition of a "Conservative"

   On January 24, 2016 the front-runner in the Republican race for President was asked during an interview on CBS's Face the Nation what his definition of a "conservative" was--a relevant question given that candidates like Jeb Bush and Sen. Marco Rubio have, in recent interviews, referred to the Republican Party as "the conservative party".  Trump's definition rambled a bit but when analyzed closely he named the following characteristics:

A person who:

  • doesn't want to "take overly risk" (verbatim quote)
  • when it comes to the government, who "wants to conserve" (verbatim quote--I'm serious!)
  • wants to "balance the budget"
  • is militaristic
  Trump didn't actually say "militaristic" was a characteristic but that's where he went in answering the question.  In fact he stated the following explicitly: 

  "I'm a very militaristic person. I'm very much into the military and we'll build our military bigger, better, stronger than ever before...and that's actually the cheapest thing to do." 

  That was Ronald Reagan's view, too, and earlier in the interview Trump invoked Reagan when asked to respond to accusations that he wasn't a "consistent conservative." Trump pointed out that Reagan--every man's model of conservatism--started out very liberal and become more conservative over the years, just like him. 
  During the Reagan Administration, the defense budget rose from $180 billion in 1981 to $279 billion in 1986. As a result, the nation's budget deficit increased from $79 billion to $185 billion in the same time period (and later got as high as $290 billion) and the national debt TRIPLED.  (FYI, conservatives are very anti-debt.) Not what anyone would call a balanced budget by any definition. But, in fairness, Reagan also had to deal with Democratic Party majorities in Congress. Eventually even he had to raise taxes.
 
  Setting aside defense spending and "militarism" for a moment, it's worth looking at the other characteristics of a conservative Trump mentioned in the interview:

   "Not taking overly risk" -- this is sufficiently vague as to be rendered useless, but he may have been referring to going to war in Iraq as being an example of "overly risky" given Trump's repeated statements reminding us all that he had warned back in 2002-2003 (when he was still more "liberal?) that it would turn out badly.

   Wanting to "conserve" -- with regard to government.  Again, sufficiently vague as to be rendered moot.

   Wanting to "balance the budget" -- a wonderful aspiration. The only U.S. budgets that were balanced in modern times were during the Clinton Administration.  But it must also be pointed out that it is the House of Representatives not the President that submits budgets to the Congress for approval and for the President to either sign or veto. Also, the Clinton Administration enjoyed a tremendous advantage in the form of the Internet boom, which saw hyper-inflated valuations of companies, many of which produced little more than bytes of information on a screen. That bubble eventually burst along with the accompanying housing bubble. So, a conservative President can want balanced budgets until she or he is blue in the face, but the only way to get one is through the House of Representatives.

   Given Trump's statements about conservatism one has to wonder how happy a man like him, who thrives on power and attention, would fare should he actually be successfully elected President. If he governed faithfully in accord with his stated conservative philosophy, what would there be for him to do all day, besides engage in a tremendous (to use one of his favorite words) build-up of the military (which he can't do alone because it's Congress's job to create and pass a budget), while simultaneously balancing that budget (which even Reagan couldn't do). Then what? "Conserve" and not take "overly risk?"
 
   I may be wrong, but conserving and not taking a risk doesn't seem glitzy enough for Trump's persona. I'm likely to take his advice and not take overly risk on a Trump presidency. I still don't know what I'd be getting for that...other than more battleships that we might not risk using.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

A Comedy of Contradictions



CNN’s State of the Union (December 6, 2015) with Jake Tapper had an amusing line up of Republican Presidential candidates as guests. The cast included Senator Marco Rubio, Governor John Kasich, and a sound bite by Donald Trump. The rhetoric and contradictions were, as Trump might say, “AMAZING”! Here are the highlights:

On the San Bernadino shooting and shooters:
Rubio: “How did these people come up with the money to purchase all of these explosives and pipe bombs? This was potentially thousands of dollars in expenditures.”  

Wow, “thousands!”  Nationally syndicated NPR radio talk show host, Diane Rehm, also expressed surprise the day after the shootings, fairly shrieking on her show, “WHERE did he get all the money for those weapons?”  Yeah, who makes that kind of money—“thousands of dollars”? That DOES sound suspicious. Is it possible that this man who made an annual salary of $70,000, who probably spent half of that on recurring expenses, and another quarter on taxes, leaving him with $17,500 PER YEAR was able to to save enough money to buy “thousands of dollars” worth of weapons?? Seems suspicious.  ( I know a guy at the U.S. Coast Guard who used to brag to me in whispers that he had 33 guns in his house and he was storing ammunition, too, in the event of a Zombie apocalypse…or a renegade FBI raid on his home. No one has arrested him yet, though he does make one raise an eyebrow.)  

On the idea of collecting phone data to stop terrorism:
Senator Rubio practically argued that we should collect and save a lifetime of phone records on EVERY ONE in the country.  He lamented that we didn’t have phone record information going back longer than two years on this guy and his accomplice, his Pakistani wife. Fortunately the CNN host, Jake Tapper, had the wits to remind Rubio that the wife had only been in the country two years, so how was the U.S. Government supposed to collect data on her going back longer than that?  Rubio’s response: “That’s why collecting this data is so critical.”  Huh?  Then he doubled-down (even Rubio is learning lessons from The Donald now) by saying if we had collected all his phone records for years, he was sure if we went back and looked at everyone he ever called, we’d find someone who knows something that could help us figure out how this happened. 

And there goes the Republican plan for “small federal government” out the window again! How many people, how many computers, how much time will it take to go through all of those records, find where these people now live, interview them, etc. etc. Oh, wait, I forgot…the government will outsource that to contractors so that the Federal Government continues to “appear” small and limited, while its budget continues to grow to the size of Godzilla. 

But wait…I thought the terrorists were so smart that they stopped using the standard phone system in lieu of more secure forms of communication, like Wii and PlayStation. If that’s the case, what’s the benefit in keeping all these phone records again? 

This was the point Sen. Kasich made later in the broadcast. 

Sen. Kasich: “These folks have been able to encrypt their messages. We know that was the case in Paris and we suspect it was the case here (San Bernadino) and our intelligence communities cannot see those communications.  If we can’t see what they’re saying, then we’re operating in the dark.”   

But under the Rubio plan, we won’t have to. We’ll have a bazillion terabytes of un-encrypted phone data to crawl through. Okay, so which is it, guys? Are the terrorists talking on open phone lines or via encrypted PlayStation toggles?  We might want to get this one right going forward.

On using the terror watch list or “no-fly” list to check on potential gun buyers:
Like many of his Republican colleagues, Rubio is against using these lists to check on individuals who try to buy a gun in this country. When he was asked on the show about his position, Rubio replied that this wouldn’t be a good idea because “the majority of the people who are on the no-fly list are oftentimes people who basically just have the same name as somebody else, who don’t belong on the no-fly list. They wind up on the no-fly list, there’s no due process, and no way to get your name removed from it on a timely fashion, and now they’re having their Second Amendment right being impeded upon.”  But it’s okay to keep them in the dark that they’re on the list?? AND it’s okay to keep a record of everyone they ever called on the phone. Those aren’t infringements on anyone’s rights, apparently. Many Republicans who have been asked about this, including Sen. Rubio,  have stated that former Senator Ted Kennedy was on one of these lists. Don't you think HE'D want to know. (Sshh, no! He'll never find out...we'll just tell him he can't board the plane, Sorry, Mr. Senator.)

And here’s what’s more disturbing, he continued by stating, “There are over 700,000 Americans on some watch list or another that would all be captured under this amendment that the Democrats offered.  There aren’t 700,000 terrorists operating in America openly on watch lists. That is not a perfect database and it has a significant number of errors.”  (But if it does include the most dangerous individuals, wouldn’t we want to use it? Ahem, and, if the list has that many law-abiding citizens on it, maybe someone in the Federal Government might want to clean that list up? I’m just sayin’…)

But wait, it gets better when Gov. Kasich weighs in on this one.  In the most bizarre twist of logic heard in a long, long time, Gov. Kasich, on this topic, posited the following argument for not using the lists:

In our state, when we stop someone who’s on the watch list, we don’t tell them they’re on the watch list.  We want to make sure that we can exploit all the information that we can possibly get. So if all of the sudden you tell everybody who’s on the watch list, ‘You can’t do this or that’, then guess what happens? We lose our ability to track. We lose our ability to gather information. Of course it makes common sense to say that if you’re on a terrorist watch list, we don’t want them to be able to buy a gun. But what we have to deal with is the fact that we don’t want to tip somebody off that they’re under review and we could be gathering critical information to disrupt the plot. All of this is about having the information to disrupt. That’s what the intelligence business is all about.” 

The savvy CNN Host was right on top of that one again, asking somewhat incredulously: “Let me just game this out. So somebody’s on the terror watch list, and so they’re being surveilled; they go in to buy an AR-15, and you think that that person should be able to get it, because you don’t want to tip them off that they’re on a terror watch list?

Kasich:  “Well, what I think, Jake, is I think we have to be careful in the way we do this. Look everybody wants to get a slick little answer and a hundred percent answer. If there is a practical way to limit it, yes. But I think we also have to weigh it off against our ability to surveil.”  In the end, Kasich admitted, “Presidential campaigns don’t always lend themselves to reasonable discussions. “  AMEN! 

(WARNING: POTENTIAL BRILLIANT IDEA: So why wouldn’t this work: when someone goes to buy a gun, we check their name against the watch lists and if there’s a match, we let them buy the gun and then inform the appropriate authorities afterward. That way we protect everyone’s 2nd Amendment right AND afterward, if the Government is on the ball, they’ll do something with the information like, for example, they see it’s the twelfth gun purchased by that individual in as many months. Seems reasonable, no? And since Rubio and Kasich don’t have any problem with the Government collecting our phone records, it shouldn’t bother them if the Government collects our gun purchase records either, right?  Everyone can get what they want…including the terrorist gun buyer. Now that’s our constitutional democracy working for us!) 

And then there’s Trump:
We’ll end with the broadcast’s opener--a provocative statement by Donald Trump giving his, as always, deeply profound and informed insight into why President Obama won’t say the term “radical Islamic terrorism”. Trump proclaimed, “There’s something going on with him that we…don’t…know about.”

Which is basically what everyone is muttering under their breath about Trump himself and now, after this broadcast perhaps, about a couple of his Republican competitors.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Take my Gun, please!

The Republicans and conservatives rail against President Obama for not "protecting the nation" from horrible events like the recent shootings in San Bernadino. They have claimed on television and radio interviews that the President's primary responsibility is to "protect the nation" as they point to the 36 people who were shot in that California incident. Let's look at this with a little different perspective:

  • First of all, the Constitution states that the President is the "Commander and Chief" of the military (though the President's political opponents do not want to follow his commands, nor do they want the military to follow his commands).  
  • The Constitution does NOT say that the President is "responsible" for the safety or protection of either the nation or of all of the people in it (even if he COULD protect them all). 
  • If conservatives who oppose gun control and want to fight terrorism at home were truly concerned about public safety, they might consider the 300 million guns in this country and how many people are killed or injured by THEM each year! The fact is that since 9/11, there have been about 100 deaths in America from terrorist violence; during that same period, overall deaths from guns (which include many incidents of suicides and domestic violence) exceeds deaths from the Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan wars combined. This year alone, 38,364 individuals have taken their OWN lives in the United States, which includes 22 veterans per day! What do Donald Trump or Marco Rubio propose to do about that threat to our homeland? Send more men into quagmires in the Middle East.